Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,682$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(358 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,388.5}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 69.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,388.5\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $54$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.31 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57.7}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 57.7)}}\) (asimptote \(57.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $104$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $151,209$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(622 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{846,433.4}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 134.2)}}\) (asimptote \(846,433.4\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,657$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(42.5 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,282.9}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 82.4)}}\) (asimptote \(4,282.9\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $75,009$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,039$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(190 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,030.9}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 85.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,030.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $170$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(10.2 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,472.3}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 173.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,472.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,443$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $68,311$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(1.13 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{107,532.8}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 99.2)}}\) (asimptote \(107,532.8\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,953$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(73.2 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.9\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $46,898$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,363$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(7.92 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,204.2}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 86.8)}}\) (asimptote \(6,204.2\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $129$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(1.11 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{130.8}{1 + 10^{-0.066 (t - 72.7)}}\) (asimptote \(130.8\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,612$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,227$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(34.8 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,827.8}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 110.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,827.8\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $15$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(0.372 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.9\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $583$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,001$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(104 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,043.6}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 71.3)}}\) (asimptote \(2,043.6\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.19 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{86.2}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 75.9)}}\) (asimptote \(86.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,454$ on 2020-06-30
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,907$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(1.46 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,824.8}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 64.1)}}\) (asimptote \(13,824.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $912$ on 2020-06-30
Best fit exponential: \(178 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{898.4}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 48.5)}}\) (asimptote \(898.4\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,098$ on 2020-06-30